Probability Lab
Empirical · historical returns · not a forecastProbability lattice
EMPIRICAL · NOT A FORECASTNot enough price history for a distribution.
Each column is the historical frequency of an h-day forward return. Falling particles are samples drawn from that same distribution — a visual of the data, not a prediction. History does not repeat on schedule.
Ridgeline landscape · 1–20 day horizons
EMPIRICAL · NOT A FORECASTNot enough price history for a distribution.
Relationship graph · return correlation
HYPERLIQUIDNot enough price history for a distribution.
Pearson correlation of daily log returns over the shown window. Green = move together, red = move apart. Node size = open interest. Correlation is not causation and changes over time.